Skip to main content

Who are you? Who am I? | Week 47

November | Politics | Week 47 | 11/26/2023
2024 Election predictions

Over the last year my predictions for the 2024 election have changed numerous times. Depending on my exposure to various media, my portrayal of the candidates' favorability can and will shift. Additionally, my relative cynicism or optimism on any given day will impact my predictions. All things considered, I do feel relatively confident with my current prediction: Trump vs Kamala vs RFK Jr. Kamala wins.  

On the Republican side, prior to Trump announcing his candidacy, I would have predicted that DeSantis would run and likely win the nomination. His support by folks like Elon Musk and Peter Thiel, his support among Hispanics, and his sweeping victory in Florida, told me that he was likely to capture the same adoration nationally. However, once Trump announced his candidacy, it became unclear. Now, as we narrow in on 11 months until the vote, Trump has been indicted and arrested, appeared at numerous sporting events and done interviews with the likes of Tucker Carlson, and I honestly cannot see him not getting the nomination. His unwavering support, his cult-like following, and his likeability, particularly online, is unprecedented. As far as other candidates, I do think that Nikki Haley, Desantis and Vivek will put up some challenges in the primaries and may even win a state or two each but overall, I believe Trump will sweep the field. I do think it's possible that he will choose Vivek or Tucker Carlson as his VP. 

On the Democrat side, I had hopes briefly that RFK Jr. might actually have a shot, but it was clear within a few months and a few podcasts that he was nothing resembling a modern Democrat and he stood no chance within the party lines. There was some speculation that other candidates might jump in if Biden didn't announce his candidacy. Popular options were Newsom, Bloomberg, and even Michelle Obama. 

Here is my detailed prediction about how this election cycle will go. January 1, 2024, the front running candidates will be Trump, Biden, and RFK. After a few of the primaries, the republican candidates outside Trump will drop out of the race. Trump will subsequently name Vivek as his running mate. Biden will officially name Kamala as his running mate. And RFK will pick Tulsi Gabbard. After a few more failed attempts at putting Trump in jail, the left will change tactics to their final strategy. There will be a mysterious reason why Biden has to withdraw, citing health reasons, and Kamala will become the presidential nominee for the Democrats, naming Gavin Newsom as her running mate. 

Going into the final election, it will be Trump/Vivek, RFK/Tulsi, and Kamala/Newsom. RFK/Tulsi will pull far more votes from Trump than from Kamala and Kamala will end up winning the election. 

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

To 2024

To 2024  *5:13 pm, Friday, December 20th, 2024* I'm still staring at my monitor, which is by far the brightest object in the surrounding area, as the sun has now set. I can see the whole city from my window, illuminated against the darkening sky. Admittedly, I take this view for granted sometimes, I know it's better than most. I haven't left my house in 3 days, desperately trying to close out items and stay above water with lengthy to-do lists, both work and personal. Frankly, this is not an unusual night in the last few months, but the last few days have been a scramble, as I attempt to step away from work over the coming holiday weeks. In years past, by this time in December I'm already in Florida for Christmas. But this year is different.  When I think about 2024 relative to years past, the word "busier" comes to mind. If I check with the 'weekend tracker' I've maintained for 5 years, the records would concur. I was busier. But where did my time...
Post a Comment
Read more

Divine Synergy: The Literal and Metaphorical Meaning of 3.14

The mathematical constant Pi has long been the subject of inquiry and fascination, since the days of ancient Egypt and Babylonia because of it's unique properties. Pi, usually written shorthand as 3.14, represents the ratio of a circle's circumference to it's diameter. Said differently, the distance around a circle is 3.14 x the length across it. That seems insignificant until one learns Pi is actually an irrational number with a never ending sequence of integers, 3.14159.... The decimal representation never ends, nor is it permanently repeating like how 1/3 is 0.33333. It is infinite.  From a scientific perspective, this is of course intriguing, but from a philosophical or theological perspective this is affirming. A circle is used in many cultures to represent the infinite. Think of the Buddhist Wheel or the Zen Buddhist symbol Enso. Think of the Taoist Yin Yang. The Hindu representation of Samsara. The Celtic Cross. What is the message of Pi? Read literally: The distance...
Post a Comment
Read more

A Number, A Symbol

The Number For years, I was plagued by, or gifted with a number. How did the number get to me, and why? What did it mean? For the better part of 2 years I saw 3:14 everywhere. I happened to check my phone or watch almost daily at 3:14. I'd see it in passing on a sign or TV. On a few special occasions I even awoke at 3:14 AM and turned to see it on my clock. You could ask some of my friends and old girlfriends, I started to screenshot it after a while. I was taking pictures of it. Remembering every occasion. It had gotten past the point of coincidence. There were essentially two explanations for it. One in the realm of psychology and one in the realm of spirituality. Psychologically, it could have been Viewer's Bias. I could have started subconsciously checking my phone or watch every day around 3:14 to try and maximize my chances of seeing it, so to give credence to that idea and create a feedback loop. If I was doing that I certainly wasn't doing it consciously. Then ther...
Post a Comment
Read more